Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.025866 0.027879 0.029903 0.032088 0.034378 0.036703 0.039240
2025-12-14 0.021533 0.024630 0.027865 0.031482 0.035400 0.039505 0.044116
2025-12-21 0.018654 0.022318 0.026251 0.030763 0.035765 0.041116 0.047247
2025-12-28 0.017337 0.021504 0.026080 0.031430 0.037469 0.044031 0.051657
2026-01-04 0.015932 0.020443 0.025499 0.031518 0.038420 0.046025 0.054973
2026-01-11 0.014638 0.019399 0.024841 0.031425 0.039087 0.047633 0.057801
2026-01-18 0.013929 0.018983 0.024854 0.032059 0.040543 0.050104 0.061581
2026-01-25 0.012929 0.018145 0.024312 0.031987 0.041136 0.051551 0.064165
2026-02-01 0.012054 0.017405 0.023836 0.031950 0.041732 0.052973 0.066698
2026-02-08 0.011240 0.016691 0.023352 0.031864 0.042236 0.054264 0.069060
2026-02-15 0.010482 0.016006 0.022864 0.031739 0.042668 0.055446 0.071280
2026-02-22 0.009794 0.015374 0.022410 0.031627 0.043088 0.056598 0.073451
2026-03-01 0.008896 0.014451 0.021592 0.031086 0.043034 0.057251 0.075126
2026-03-08 0.008024 0.013524 0.020741 0.030484 0.042896 0.057809 0.076711
2026-03-15 0.007194 0.012600 0.019845 0.029781 0.042593 0.058135 0.077989
2026-03-22 0.006937 0.012475 0.020002 0.030434 0.043993 0.060545 0.081796
2026-03-29 0.006500 0.012058 0.019742 0.030520 0.044660 0.062043 0.084492
2026-04-05 0.006036 0.011573 0.019364 0.030429 0.045084 0.063231 0.086802
2026-04-12 0.005838 0.011479 0.019521 0.031050 0.046425 0.065565 0.090531
2026-04-19 0.005437 0.011046 0.019180 0.030979 0.046855 0.066748 0.092835
2026-04-26 0.005074 0.010651 0.018876 0.030943 0.047317 0.067966 0.095179
2026-05-03 0.004724 0.010252 0.018547 0.030858 0.047704 0.069080 0.097392
2026-05-10 0.004387 0.009855 0.018203 0.030737 0.048031 0.070111 0.099495